Foreign Trade: Nigeria records $1.1bn surplus (Q4, 2021)

Nigeria has recorded a surplus of $1.1 billion in foreign trade (Q4, 2021), as export value surpassed import bill for the first time since Q3 2019, representing 8 consecutive quarters of negative trade balance.

 

 

This is according to the recent data on foreign trade published by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN).

 

 

According to the data, Nigeria’s international trade balance increased significantly from a deficit of $327 million recorded in the previous quarter to $1.1 billion in Q4 2021.

 

 

Similarly, when compared to the corresponding period of the previous year, Nigeria’s trade balance increased by 115% from $7.57 billion deficit recorded in Q4 2020.

 

 

Meanwhile, the aggregate trade balance for the year 2021 still lies in the negative region at $6.49 billion, although better than the $21.37 billion negative balance recorded in the preceding year.

 

 

A further breakdown of the data from the Central Bank of Nigeria showed that export earnings dropped marginally by 3.5% from $13.42 billion recorded in Q3 2021 to $12.95 billion in Q4 2021, while import bill reduced by 13.8% from $13.74 billion to $11.85 billion in the review period.

 

 

This implies that the positive trade balance was driven by a significant decline in import bill rather than an increase in export value.

Highlight

• Nigeria’s total foreign trade declined by 8.7% in Q4 2021, moving from $27.16 billion recorded in the previous quarter to $24.8 billion.

 

• On the other hand, when compared to the corresponding period of 2020, total merchandise trade appreciated marginally by 1.4% from $24.45 billion recorded in Q4 2020.

 

• On an annual basis, total trade increased by 7.1% in 2021 from $93.26 billion in the previous year to $99.86 billion.

 

 

Amaka E. Nliam/ Nairametrics